You may have heard it, the media is reporting 6,000 inmates about to be released early from prison.  This is not new news, but depending on what side you’re on, it may or may not be good news. 

“Six thousand people could be a scary thing,” said Mary Price, general counsel of Families Against Mandatory Minimums, which campaigns for sentencing reform. “Or it could be a signal that we as a nation are serious about rethinking our approach to crime and punishment.”

“The Justice Department is set to release about 6,000 inmates early from prison — the largest ever one-time release of federal prisoners — in an effort to reduce overcrowding and provide relief to drug offenders who received harsh sentences over the past three decades.”

However, this release was set in place a year ago.  It sounded like news, and it landed just as Congress is inching towards repairing a prison system widely deemed broken.The release is the handiwork of the U.S. Sentencing Commission. 

The agency was created by Congress in the 1984 crime control bill to “provide certainty and fairness in meeting the purposes of sentencing, avoiding unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants with similar records who have been found guilty of similar criminal conduct.” 

In April 2014, the commission unanimously voted to reduce the sentencing guidelines for many federal drug offenses. Three months later, the group voted unanimously again to make the sentencing reduction retroactive, meaning that the change would also shorten prison stays for thousands of inmates who are already serving time in federal facilities.

“We were motivated in part by the overcrowding in the federal prisons,” explained Rachel Barkow, a New York University law professor who was appointed to the commission two years ago. A congressional oversight agency has reported that federal prisons are more than 30% over capacity and needs $7 billion to pay for its “obligations.”

Congress did not block the commission’s decision, and the change went into effect nearly a year ago on Nov. 1, 2014. But the commission told federal Bureau of Prisons officials that no inmates could be released until late 2015.

“This was a result of over a year’s worth of planning,” Barkow said.

How it works:

Let’s say John Doe is one of the prisoners to be released later this month.

Doe was convicted of a federal drug crime several years ago. At the time, the federal judge who sentenced him probably consulted something called the Drug Quantity Table, which showed what “offense level” Doe deserved based on the type and amount of drug involved in his crime. The judge then used a separate table, called the Sentencing Table, to figure out how many years Doe would go to prison based on his offense level.

But the Sentencing Commission’s new guidelines essentially instructed the courts to adjust Doe’s offense level downward by two levels, which in turn meant that his sentence could be reduced, too. For instance, if Doe trafficked 80 to <100 grams of heroin, he used to be a Level 24 offender, and he was sentenced to prison for 51 to 63 months. When the guidelines changed, he was adjusted downward two levels to a Level 22 offender, and he was now eligible for a new sentence of 41 to 51 months.

Ever since last November, all federal prisoners such as Doe who were sentenced under the old guidelines have been eligible to apply for this reduction. Federal public defenders have also been combing their records to find former clients who might be eligible for the reduction but might not be aware of it. As the applications have poured in, the courts have been granting about 70 sentence reductions a week.

Because of all these reductions, 6,000 prisoners will be released later this month. Another 8,550 may be released by November of next year — and an eventual total of 46,000.

How it doesn’t work:

The change in federal sentencing guidelines applies to a limited group of people. It does not provide relief to the roughly 208,000 people held in state prisons for drug convictions, which constitutes the majority of people serving time for such crimes in the United States.

It’s also separate from President Barack Obama’s efforts to grant clemency to certain nonviolent drug offenders, which resulted in the early release of 46 nonviolent drug offenders this summer, bringing the total number of prisoners granted clemency by President Obama to 89.

And finally, those sentenced under federal mandatory minimums are also restricted in the sentence reduction they could receive. “There are very few ways a prisoner can get out from under a mandatory minimum,” said Mary Price of Families Against Mandatory Minimums. For example, a conviction for possessing 500 grams of cocaine triggers a 5-year minimum sentence, but other circumstances, such as possession of a gun, could garner additional prison time under the old sentencing guidelines. Any sentence reduction someone in that situation would be eligible to receive could not dip below 5 years total, since that’s the floor of the mandatory minimum. According to date released by the Sentencing Commission in June 2015, federal judges have denied re-sentencing to over 2,000 prisoners, and 520 of those denials were issued because the person was ineligible due to a mandatory minimum.

Since mandatory minimums are statutory, only Congress can reduce them—and lawmakers are currently considering a bill to do just that.

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